Merkel will win, but who will form next German government?

German flag on human hands- Stock image

Germany's Free Democrats (FDP) would want the finance ministry in exchange for joining Chancellor Angela Merkel in the country's next coalition government, a member of the party's executive said, quoted by Reuters.

The coalition partners' combined score of 58 percent is almost 10 percentage points down on the 67.2 percent they won in the last election in 2013.

The party, which advocates the closure of Germany's borders and the introduction of a minimum quota for deportations, could now become the biggest opposition force in the national assembly if the current coalition of Merkel's Christian Democratic Union party and the Social Democratic Party (SPD) is returned, as polling indicates is likely. This is following a strong performance in the much-anticipated TV debate with Martin Schulz on 3 September.

With practically all German parties paying campaign money to Google, Facebook and Twitter, this is the first time that USA internet companies are playing such a central role during the German election. Given her steady hand, that should be seen as a good thing, for Germany, Europe, the US and the world.

The good news is that Ireland already has an extensive trading relationship with Germany.

There is, however, disagreement over Germany's defence budget. The FDP leader may have memorized his lines, but he also knows how to deliver them, which sets him apart from his much older political rivals in Germany.

After initially butting heads with leftist Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras in his first formative months in power in 2015, Merkel, the dour chancellor known as "Mutti" (mummy) has built a rapport of sorts with the young ex-student rebel. She and her CDU party maintain a close relationship with Ireland's governing Fine Gael party through mutual membership of the European People's Party (EPP), the largest political grouping in the European Parliament.

It is probably safe to assume that the current governing coalition, with Merkel in the lead, will win the September 24 elections.

One senior minister told The Telegraph: "The FDP are likely to be in the coalition, and they will not allow Mrs Merkel to ignore German industry".

But Merkel, who is on track to win a fourth term, was also careful not to alienate the vehicle sector, highlighting its role as a "key industry" that employs some 870,000 people nationwide and is an important engine of growth for Germany and Europe. To broaden their appeal, Lindner has added education to the party's economic agenda, promising to invest more in schools and universities. Her Indian counterpart, PM Modi has faced similar domestic and regional challenges, but emerged as a promising leader, representative of strong national aspirations. Secondly, relations between India and the European Union after Brexit will continue to be stable. But in all likelihood, the Chancellor will remain the same the day after, although she might be wearing a different pantsuit. However, Chancellor Merkel has stressed that the negotiations are very much between the United Kingdom and the remaining 27 European Union member states as a whole and it will be for the EU's negotiators in Brussels to forge the deal with the UK.

Germany fills its Bundestag using the mixed-member proportional voting system. This is a depressing reflection of contemporary European politics, and even more tragic when it enters legitimate German politics.If the opinion polls are to be believed, Merkel's 15 percent lead would enable her not only to retain office, but also to select carefully her coalition partners. "We must fight against the leaders of the party, but we must not attack their sympathizers", said the SPD candidate. CDU and FDP would partner very easily, like they have in the past, but the addition of the Greens would pose a novelty that is somewhat peculiar given the substantial differences among all three parties in matters of policy preferences, as well as voter clienteles.

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